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Summary:Lee County, North Carolina;Appropriations; General Obligation <br /> in fiscal 2017; <br /> • Very strong budgetary flexibility,with an available fund balance in fiscal 2017 of 2 1%of operating expenditures; <br /> • Very strong liquidity,with total government available cash at 31.7%of total governmental fund expenditures and <br /> 3.Ox governmental debt service,and access to external liquidity we consider strong; <br /> • Adequate debt and contingent liability position,with debt service carrying charges at 10.7%of expenditures and net <br /> direct debt that is 137.8%of total governmental fund revenue,as well as rapid amortization,with 67.6%of debt <br /> scheduled to be retired in 10 years;and Very strong institutional framework score. <br /> Weak economy <br /> We consider Lee County's economy weak.The county has an estimated population of 59,616.The county has a <br /> projected per capita effective buying income of 74.6%of the national level and per capita market value of$88,831. <br /> Overall,the county's market value grew by 2.1%in 2016 to$5.3 billion in 2017.The county unemployment rate was <br /> 5.9%in 2016. <br /> Lee County encompasses 255 square miles in central North Carolina,about 46 miles southwest of Raleigh-Durham. <br /> Broadway and Sanford,which together serve as the county seat,are the only two incorporated municipalities within <br /> the county.Although the local economy has continued to diversify,manufacturing is still Lee County's largest <br /> employment industry.Leading employers include Lee County Schools,Pilgrim's Pride Corp.,and Coty US LLC. In <br /> October 2017,the county's largest taxpayer,Pfizer Inc.,announced a$130 million investment focused on gene therapy <br /> research that would create 50 high-paying jobs over the next five years. In addition to these local employers, <br /> management indicates Lee County residents commute to jobs in in the Raleigh-Durham metropolitan statistical area <br /> (MSA),including Chapel Hill and Research Triangle Park.The county has also seen growth in commercial activity, <br /> including new restaurants,retail,and grocery stores.Due to Lee County's location near the Raleigh-Durham MSA,we <br /> expect growth to continue over the two-year outlook period. <br /> Strong management <br /> We view the county's management as strong,with good financial policies and practices under our FMA methodology, <br /> indicating financial practices exist in most areas,but that governance officials might not formalize or monitor all of <br /> them on a regular basis. <br /> When drafting the budget,management analyzes historical trends for revenue and expenditure assumptions and uses <br /> outside sources to gauge trends. Management monitors the budget,with the ability to amend,throughout the fiscal <br /> year and provides monthly budget-to-actual reports to the county commissioners.At this time,the county does not <br /> maintain a formal long-term financial plan,but we believe forward-looking projections for the operating fund are being <br /> discussed alongside management's fiscal 2019 budget preparations.The county maintains a formal five-year capital <br /> improvement plan,which is updated annually and identifies project funding sources.In addition,the county <br /> commissioners have adopted a formal investment policy,but holding reports are not regularly provided to the county <br /> commissioners.A formal debt management policy exists,and limits debt service to 15%of general fund expenditures. <br /> County officials adopted a formal fund balance policy to maintain a minimum available fund balance of 16%of general <br /> fund expenditures,though the county has a target of 24%.The county is currently in compliance with this policy. <br /> WWW.STANDARDANDPOOBS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT APRIL 6,2018 3 <br />