1-30 - 1-31-20 BOC Retreat - Laserfiche WebLink

Home Browse Search

schools coming online. There has also been an impact from home schooling. There is a need to predict school population down the road. Private school data and the percentage of population that those schools will attract from Lee County will be considered. Forecasting population going forward is through the Office of State Budget Management. The opinion is that the projections have been consistently low. The most accurate way to determine population according to the census is through residential units. Looking at 2,873 residential units approved recently. Another 90 residential units and 2 apartment complexes have submitted concept plans. In 2030, on the low end, it is anticipated that development would create an additional 1,097 units. On the high end, in 2030 it is anticipated that an additional 1,774 students will be added to the Lee County Public School system. The Board needs to look at functional capacity compared to enrollment capacity at schools. Through 2030 the County is looking at needing 1-3 new schools being added to the public school system. Consideration is needed regarding where the county can acquire property for schools. Ill. Airport Overlay District Planning Director Marshall Downey provided an update on the proposed Airport Overlay District. The original map included 59 parcels with boundary outline which included about 35 property owners being affected. The feedback previously received is that there was not a comfort level with the boundary and impact on landowners. The FAA's Land Use compatibility zones has since been applied to the area map. The model only prohibits residential growth in a couple of small areas. The other zones allow for residential growth in low density. The potential negative is that you would go to 455 parcels and 328 property owners impacted with the FAA Zone map. The updated map is a defined area by the Federal Aviation Authority. Staff also looked at pulling properties that were more than 50% in the airport zone into the zone to try to go by property boundaries rather than splitting properties. Areas that were in a flood plain or not buildable were taken out of the projections. The compromised recommendation is no more than one unit for every two acres. The impacted property is currently composed of mostly vacant land. Mr. Downey mentioned a "buyer beware"notice regarding the airport for property owners and buyers to place them on notice of potential burdens they may experience due to the airport. Staff is looking at setting up a workshop with the Board of Commissioners and Planning Board to present a revised recommended plan. The ability of many of the landowners in the area to build high-density development would be dependent on City sewer. Commissioner Dalrymple recommended getting examples from other similar airports that have adopted the FAA recommended plans and how the low- density restriction has impacted their area. IV. FY 2020-2021 Budget Kickoff Discussion The unemployment rate in Lee County is currently 3.9%. The sales tax growth continues to be strong and has been analyzed at 5% over the last four years on average. The tax base growth has been anywhere from 2-4%. The population has grown at an approximate rate of 1.2% annually. The public school ADM has been declining over the last five years. The Board looked at a comparison of tax rates over all 100 counties over the last five years. The next revaluation for the County will occur in 2023 based on a four-year cycle thus the process will begin in less than 12 months from now if the County stays on this cycle. Last year the tax rate was lowered to a revenue neutral rate of 77.5%. The recommended COLA for next year is 2.1%. The big issue in the County's pay is that the experienced people once they get their years become more valuable to someone else compared to what they are making here. Staff is looking at a step 5